I had guessed on Twitter that the SpaceX IPO would open up by about ten percent ($148). (Dan Niles referenced a higher number, $180)
Many on Fin TV - like Jim Cramer - were saying with confidence much higher numbers.
My"forecast" is looking reasonably accurate.
I also believe the opening could coincide with a short term market top. @tomkeene @business @ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @TheJudgeCNBC @carlquintanilla @jimcramer @annmarie @peterboockvar @guyadami @convertbond @gnoble79 @KeithMcCullough @RPKent @HedgeyeDJ @SamofAmerica
Seabreeze Partners: “An IPO is like a negotiated transaction – the seller chooses when to come public – and it’s unlikely to be a time that’s favorable to you.”
- Warren Buffett
"Some Advice on the SpaceX IPO From The Oracle of Omaha"
-- blog tab of https://seabreezepartnerslp.com
Author predicted SpaceX IPO would open around $148 (10% up), contrasting with higher forecasts from Jim Cramer and others. Also speculates the opening could coincide with a short-term market top. Cites Warren Buffett's caution that IPO timing favors sellers, not buyers.
Author provides a price forecast but frames it as speculation ('guessed') and emphasizes caution via Buffett quote about IPO timing favoring sellers. No fundamental bullish catalyst given; the post is about price prediction accuracy and market timing risk rather than endorsing the offering. Without external data on SpaceX valuation or IPO details, this remains speculative commentary.
关键要点
Author's SpaceX IPO opening estimate: ~$148 (10% gain), lower than media personalities' predictions
Dan Niles referenced $180; Jim Cramer and others predicted 'much higher'
Author believes IPO opening may mark a short-term market top
Quotes Buffett: IPO timing is chosen by sellers and unlikely to favor buyers
