THE DOT PLOT WAS JUST RELEASED
Only 1 Fed member said they think we should lower rates in 2026
Evan: JUST IN:
KEVIN WARSH AND THE 🇺🇸FED EXPECT TO RAISE RATES THIS YEAR
The median projection for the federal funds rate in 2026 is 3.8% ... Rates are currently sitting at 3.50-3.75%.
This was taken from the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). This SEP tells you what the Fed
Post highlights hawkish shift in Fed dot plot: median 2026 projection at 3.8% vs current 3.50-3.75%, with only 1 member expecting cuts in 2026 and some members (attributed to Kevin Warsh) expecting rate hikes this year. This signals tighter monetary policy ahead.
关键要点
Median Fed projection for 2026 federal funds rate is 3.8%, above current 3.50-3.75% range
Only 1 Fed member projects rate cuts in 2026
Kevin Warsh and some Fed members expect rate increases in 2025
Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) shows hawkish policy trajectory
